ClearMarket

Reference data for prediction markets: graded resolution clarity, cross-venue links, provenance.

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What it can do

    What data it sees

    Do you need an account

    No: the server works without sign-in

    Reference data for prediction markets: graded resolution clarity, cross-venue links, provenance.

    How to connect

    How to connect ClearMarket to Claude

    The server address to paste into Claude settings:

    https://api.clearmarket.fyi/mcp

    1. Open Claude (claude.ai or the desktop app).
    2. Go to Settings → Connectors.
    3. Click Add custom connector.
    4. Paste the server address copied below into Remote MCP server URL and click Add.
    5. In a chat, click + → Connectors and switch the new connector on.

    Custom connectors are available on Free, Pro, Max, Team and Enterprise plans (Free is limited to one). On Team and Enterprise an organization Owner adds the connector first under Organization settings → Connectors.

    Authorization

    After you click Add, a sign-in window for the service opens. Sign in with your own account and approve access. Claude never sees your password.

    How to connect ClearMarket to ChatGPT

    The server address to paste into ChatGPT settings:

    https://api.clearmarket.fyi/mcp

    1. Open ChatGPT in a browser (chatgpt.com). A Plus, Pro, Business, Enterprise or Edu plan is required.
    2. Turn on developer mode once: Settings → Apps → Advanced settings → Developer mode.
    3. Open Settings → Connectors and click Create.
    4. Fill in the form: Name (anything), Description (one line about what the service does), MCP server URL (copy it below).
    5. Under Authentication choose OAuth if the service requires sign-in, otherwise None. Click Create.
    6. In a new chat open + → Apps/Connectors and enable the connector.

    OpenAI has renamed this section before (Connectors → Apps/Plugins). If the label differs, search settings for "developer mode". On Business/Enterprise workspaces an admin must allow custom connectors first.

    Authorization

    On first use ChatGPT opens the service's sign-in window. Sign in and approve access.

    How to connect ClearMarket to Cursor

    The server address to paste into Cursor settings:

    https://api.clearmarket.fyi/mcp

    Fastest: click Open in Cursor below and confirm the prompt.

    Manually:

    1. In Cursor open Settings → Cursor Settings → MCP and click Add new global MCP server.
    2. Paste the JSON copied below into ~/.cursor/mcp.json (per project: .cursor/mcp.json in the repo root).
    3. Save the file. The server appears in the MCP list; authorize it there if asked.

    Authorization

    If the service needs sign-in, an authorize button appears next to the server in the MCP list.

    Server tool list (6)

    Raw names from tools/list. Only developers need these.

    list_eventsBrowse or search ClearMarket prediction-market events. Filter by category, platform, Resolution Clarity Grade, or free-text `q`. `q` is token-AND across question + tags, so SHORT KEYWORD queries match best ("microstrategy bitcoin", "fed rate") — natural-language phrases often return nothing. Returns compact graded summaries: slug, question, venues_covered, primary grade, rcg_score (0-100, for ranking clarity), last_price, and status (open / resolved). Start here when you have a topic but not a slug; then call get_event for the full graded record. Categories: economics, financials, crypto, companies, technology, politics, geopolitics, health, climate.
    get_eventFetch the full ClearMarket record for one event by slug: the canonical question, every market in this event's single-venue bundle, each market's current price + Resolution Clarity Grade (A/B/C) + resolution-source provenance, the canonical question_id where the question is linked across venues/events (null otherwise; also_on lists the same question priced on the other venue, when it trades there), and the upcoming catalyst dates that move it before it resolves. In the default detail="full", each market in the bundle is FULLY detailed (grade, rcg.caps, provenance, direction, settlement_style, also_on) — you do not need a separate get_market call for markets already in this event. Note: a shared question_id means same topic across venues; in rare cases it links structurally-different contracts (e.g. a "hike" vs a "cut-count" market), so verify the contract shape before treating two as an arbitrage pair. Use when you need the authoritative, graded view of a SPECIFIC event — including its cross-venue twins via also_on — before reasoning about or acting on a prediction market. If you only have a topic (not a slug), call list_events first. Set detail="concise" for a quick grade/price/source check (each market trimmed to the essentials — much smaller for events with many markets); use the default detail="full" when you need every market's rules, contract shape, and complete provenance.
    get_marketFetch one market and judge whether its price can be trusted. Accepts whatever id you have: a ClearMarket id (CM-MKT-…), a venue-native market id or Kalshi ticker, or a market URL (best-effort — Kalshi tickers / a native id in the path resolve; for Polymarket pass the conditionId, not the slug URL). Returns: raw question, current price / implied probability, the Resolution Clarity Grade with rcg.score (0-100) and rcg.caps (a cap such as "uncommitted_placeholder" hard-limits the grade — that is why a single-source market can still be C), full resolution provenance (arbitration_model = who resolves it, named source, source_type, and a graded source_status on EVERY market: named / no-committed-source / none / unknown), the contract shape (direction, settlement_style, threshold), the canonical question_id where linked, and also_on (the same question priced on other venues). The returned market_id is ALWAYS the canonical ClearMarket id (CM-MKT-…) — store and reuse THAT, not the venue id. Use before trusting or acting on a price.
    list_upcoming_catalystsList scheduled catalysts (CPI, jobs, FOMC, GDP, large-cap earnings) in the next N days that move prediction-market prices BEFORE those markets resolve — a cross-event view across the whole calendar. Each entry is provenanced to its authoritative source (BLS, Fed, etc.). Use to find what scheduled events will reprice the prediction-market universe soon.
    list_signalsBrowse the CM Signal daily wire — short, structured prediction-market bulletins (the price is the lede, news is context). Filter by event_id (every wire touching a specific event), category, venue, or detection type (news_cycle, cross_venue_divergence, benchmark_drift, volume_spike). Returns compact records, newest first; call get_signal for the full bulletin. Use to find ClearMarket's editorial read on what is moving.
    get_signalFetch one full CM Signal wire by slug: headline, the 3-5 structured bullets, atomic claims with per-field provenance tiers, the target + linked events, primary and related markets with prices, and sources. Use when you have a wire slug (from list_signals) and need the complete bulletin with its proof chain.